Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.116362 2.411809 2.733261 3.108945 3.535975 4.006302 4.563693
2025-09-21 1.625727 2.020465 2.487709 3.081477 3.816096 4.695495 5.828905
2025-09-28 1.343073 1.772060 2.310215 3.034736 3.985000 5.189648 6.834521
2025-10-05 1.242610 1.721914 2.352502 3.242590 4.467158 6.094069 8.422972
2025-10-12 1.105500 1.598734 2.275087 3.269887 4.696591 6.670886 9.615501
2025-10-19 1.022649 1.536501 2.267709 3.383519 5.044331 7.427784 11.115442
2025-10-26 0.917234 1.427234 2.178012 3.362993 5.187804 7.895355 12.227496
2025-11-02 0.830561 1.335033 2.101411 3.349443 5.332910 8.368121 13.377940
2025-11-09 0.745381 1.235183 2.001554 3.286721 5.390469 8.704197 14.335463
2025-11-16 0.693771 1.183121 1.970343 3.327430 5.611547 9.308582 15.765813
2025-11-23 0.648177 1.135899 1.941459 3.367041 5.830601 9.922302 17.257118
2025-11-30 0.598122 1.075841 1.885013 3.353311 5.955476 10.385202 18.525633
2025-12-07 0.540114 1.000074 1.801311 3.296294 6.021081 10.788356 19.794310
2025-12-14 0.491892 0.937581 1.736025 3.267898 6.139269 11.302397 21.328961
2025-12-21 0.446654 0.875306 1.664089 3.218310 6.210688 11.734002 22.746587
2025-12-28 0.441774 0.888897 1.732916 3.438673 6.807539 13.182285 26.214982
2026-01-04 0.413328 0.853245 1.704461 3.467611 7.036953 13.955840 28.448920
2026-01-11 0.397988 0.842053 1.721948 3.588079 7.456588 15.130884 31.585611
2026-01-18 0.368782 0.799204 1.672042 3.566319 7.584978 15.738773 33.623177
2026-01-25 0.343133 0.761138 1.628046 3.551953 7.725989 16.382056 35.790832
2026-02-01 0.315097 0.714998 1.562718 3.485458 7.749081 16.781092 37.471953
2026-02-08 0.299154 0.693911 1.548652 3.528616 8.012932 17.710048 40.390435
2026-02-15 0.284340 0.673842 1.534810 3.570610 8.277360 18.661691 43.445537